CoVista
November 1, 2023
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5
min read
π π¨βπ» Online real estate portal pioneers Zillow co-founder Spencer Rascoff + Redfin CEO Glen Kelman discussed the state of the housing industry separately this past week on CNBC with consistent themes around record low affordability and limited inventory creating a "stuck housing market" with stable prices.
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π¨π» β―Spencer Rascoff Co-Founder, former CEO, Zillow
ββ Housing is at a standstill given high mortgage rates and low inventory, weaker sales "locked up"
β Supply side: 90% < 5% mortgage rate lower, 80% < 4% mortgage rate lower
β Demand side: 40 year low on affordability
β Need to wait it out, Fed gives a gift or likely pent up demand waiting for lower mortgage rates from life events driving volume
β Inventory somewhat fixed via new builds from homebuilders but with limited impact
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π¨π» β―Glen Kelman CEO, Redfin. Redfin's Outlook:
β Affordability at a 4 decade low
β New Listings have stabilized
β Inventory remains near record lows
β Rent growth still sluggish
β People relocating at unprecedented levels
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π£ Overall economy is doing well versus GFC. Current soft landing with rest of economy doing well versus 2008 downturn (loss of jobs).
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π Prices are going up but lower sales volume are expected to last for a long time. However, "Rock bottom sales levels and can only go higher." Historical existing sales 4 to 6MM annualized sales vs current 4MM.
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